Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 5.425445 6.182448 7.016888 8.006555 9.150426 10.433479 11.985182
2025-05-11 4.280590 5.232422 6.364466 7.815948 9.635993 11.853553 14.776710
2025-05-18 3.611211 4.645471 5.945900 7.712380 10.066789 13.120997 17.422372
2025-05-25 3.144469 4.214877 5.622683 7.627314 10.436844 14.276349 19.992699
2025-06-01 2.772122 3.847468 5.316896 7.495470 10.684099 15.243618 22.371166
2025-06-08 2.464815 3.526727 5.027290 7.332766 10.839709 16.061832 24.592259
2025-06-15 2.339458 3.446773 5.062912 7.633312 11.693063 17.983813 28.716935
2025-06-22 2.175362 3.289454 4.963021 7.708537 12.194354 19.400738 32.194613
2025-06-29 2.004672 3.103509 4.797865 7.657133 12.476155 20.479535 35.221851
2025-07-06 1.847476 2.922914 4.621756 7.564856 12.671089 21.420205 38.106912
2025-07-13 1.775405 2.871381 4.645710 7.803068 13.446338 23.431542 43.175496
2025-07-20 1.697151 2.801795 4.631736 7.971125 14.109689 25.307756 48.226022
2025-07-27 1.642718 2.769297 4.679889 8.257714 15.027575 27.773549 54.812759
2025-08-03 1.513183 2.596263 4.469805 8.055867 15.010287 28.461870 57.891408
2025-08-10 1.411302 2.463490 4.319196 7.948300 15.158993 29.483999 61.801206
2025-08-17 1.322091 2.346188 4.186304 7.860333 15.333798 30.571693 65.995278
2025-08-24 1.234567 2.225083 4.036298 7.724087 15.394260 31.424359 69.773111
2025-08-31 1.150802 2.104644 3.877892 7.555966 15.369473 32.088768 73.201108
2025-09-07 1.132496 2.106671 3.952969 7.866523 16.389224 35.139826 82.772883
2025-09-14 1.087884 2.054368 3.917673 7.944260 16.909731 37.132209 90.034843
2025-09-21 1.032186 1.976174 3.824812 7.891139 17.131955 38.461414 95.802925
2025-09-28 0.976291 1.893645 3.716972 7.795784 17.247340 39.549750 101.100154
2025-10-05 0.958225 1.886389 3.762726 8.041950 18.182476 42.727310 112.557409